The Week of June 11th in Review

 

 

 

By Paul Pannone

 

The week of June 11th was dominated by Leonard Green & Partner’s decision to put the largest seller of wedding dresses, David’s Bridal, up for sale. But as indicated in the story, there should be no surprise, as the wedding business continues to shrink to proportions reflective of a new generation’s view about love, life and the growing aversion towards high-priced, freezer-burned, catered food.

All data and growing information pointing to the same conclusion of a shrinking (formal) market concerns any investor’s point of view, especially when they already hold the lion’s share and no room for significant growth. Combined eWedNewz stories and coverage appeared in chat areas of major websites.

Brides of color and every nationality that want to add ethnic heritage to their event are finding a magazine that speaks to their taste level. Munaluchi Bride is a new concept for a wedding magazine whose time has come.

The week’s announcements and events prove the world has changed and the wedding business is slowly adapting to the changes.

 

 

eWedNewz

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2012

 

 

Industry Poll Sides with Green’s Decision to Dump David’s Bridal

By Paul Pannone

As newZ of David’s Bridal grips the wedding industry competitors of the wedding dress giant dismiss the idea of the Devil They Know is better than any possible new ownership in the future. As the original eWedNewz story  rises on the all-time list, readers taking the poll say Leonard Green is best-served to take the money and run, just like Martha Stewart did with Wedding Wire– just in time. Martha got her golden parachute from Catalyst investors. But so far wedding experts say they fail to see how David’s Bridal can do the same; given the struggles in the wedding business that have become more well-known in the investment world.

 

Wedding dress retailers are rolling the dice hoping any new management and leadership is better than the current philosophy that drives David’s.

So far 59% agree with Leonard Green’s decision, 11% disagree, feeling it’s a mistake for them to sell and 28% say it remains to be seen. Most comments involving David’s terrible service and treatment of brides is felt to be at the heart of the owner, Leonard Green’s, decision to bail out. But discussions with financial analysts and wedding dress manufacturers differ.

One source commented;

“Your analysis was spot on; they’re not seeing the growth. With the challenges involving weddings, they’re locked into a shrinking market. Without a 15% (or more) annual return Leonard Green– or any investment company– doesn’t want their capital tied up that way.”

Boutique dress stores and wedding experts defend their position, agreeing with Leonard Green to put David’s Bridal up for sale. Most say they’ve seen takeovers fail and would like this potential sale to be the worst in history. Sources say any sort of leveraged buyout will lead to even greater discord in management and operation of the chain’s stores.

 

What do you say?

 

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2012

NewZ of David’s Bridal Sale grips the Business

By Paul Pannone

 

Through the weekend the wedding business learned that David’s Bridal is up for sale sending up a resounding round of applause. Remarks on all Social Network channels answered “finally”, hoping for the end of the tyrannic effects and changes caused by David’s meteoric growth.

David’s Bridal changed how business was done in boutique bridal stores, building a system of stocking affordable designer gowns, discontinued dress and manufacturer over runs at below retail prices. Cheap, fast and brainless became the new mantra for a generation of brides that could spend thousands for their wedding dress, but because of David’s Bridal, no longer had to.

 

Initial exuberance on the newZ of David’s Bridal going up for sale has some retailers wondering if they’re better off fighting who and what they know. A new owner and new approach could shake things up.

In its day the innovation and execution at David’s Bridal restructured the bridal dress landscape. Despite David’s Bridal’s notorious bashes in bridal blogs for their cheap, flimsy stores, where brides shopped for gowns shared community-like dressing areas, David’s grew to capture a significant part of the wedding dress market.

Traditional retail dress stores often refer to the downside of shopping at David’s. Some store owners told eWedNewz they cannot understand why a bride would put herself through the humiliation of the David’s shopping experience.

“We offer a clean, proud environment where the bride, the mother and her bridesmaids can come, sit, relax and have a great experience,” according to independent bridal store owners.

But because of the disparity between similar products, consumers (arguably 50% of the wedding dress market) trade the better shopping experience for significant cost-savings available through David’s.

So what happened?

According to sources at Leonard Green, as long as David’s hit their financial goals they were left to run as they saw fit. But since several moderate attempts to raise revenue including going into the photography business, shedding itself of costly Priscilla of Boston stores and adding Vera Wang to boost average ticket prices, a shrinking wedding market shows an impossible market for growth. To investors, growth and the ability to grow is the only reason why they hold on to a company.

eWedNewz readers are responding to the newZ;

On ongoing poll so far shows 58% of respondents say Leonard Green is smart dumping David’s Bridal– down from an initial 67%; 40% say it remains to be seen. At one point the poll was evenly split at 50-50. At no point was “No”, saying LG is making a mistake in putting David’s up for sale, higher than 2%.

 

What do you say?

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2012

No Surprise; David’s Bridal on the Auction Block

By Paul Pannone

The New York Post piece about Leonard Green putting David’s Bridal up for sale comes as no surprise, as most investment companies know when it’s time to leave. Guided strictly by hard data and facts the decision reportedly comes from the realization the formal wedding business is failing.

 

The growth of David’s Bridal has slowed over the past few years and now its owners are getting out.

 

Sources, including the respected Pew Research data center, suggest irreparable aversion towards marriage in the way it’s traditionally viewed. While there are probably just as many unions that include simple, civil, same-sex, interracial, destination, etc. marriages, to walk down the aisle and run to a catering facility for freezer-tasting meals– for $30,000+– is no longer the standard of today’s couples.

According to sources familiar with the story David’s and its owners are not blind to the facts and series of events leading to their decision to sell. In the past year we’ve seen the Knot run to China looking for a broader market, admitting the competition in the United States makes it difficult, if not impossible to grow. The wedding business saw the predicted failure of Get Married, despite efforts by their owners to try to find creative ways of sustaining a profitable level of operation.

The steady decline of newsstand magazine sales, particularly Brides, who remains in the business despite shrinking advertiser support and a recent revamp of their magazine cover, shows a level of tenacity. But even with thicker, more eye-appealing paper and a slightly different cover, a shrinking magazine can only mean shrinking dollars. Followers of Brides say they’re amazed at how they still exist. Some say they’re on a deathwatch.

Currently, an ongoing eWedNewz poll shows 55% of wedding business respondents say they are keeping their heads above water, hoping for things to get better. But with David’s owners decision to dump the retailer and the steady lament of wedding business owners coupled together leads to one conclusion for the business-minded: get out.

Sources say David’s and its owners are following the move of Martha Stewart who recently abandoned their direct stake in the wedding business, selling their stock in Wedding Wire to a group called Catalyst. Martha took the money, ran and forged a deal with the review website, funneling local traffic to them.

Last year David’s shut down Priscilla of Boston, yielding to the high cost of operating the stores and a less willing consumer to spend for merchandise they offered. Sources told eWedNewz the company was encouraged by the growing interest and success of their Vera Wang partnership, banking that the savings of shutting down Priscilla stores and higher ticket prices delivered by Wang products would improve margins.

Even David’s Bridal that leveraged off-shore manufacturing in China to cripple their competition has found they’re losing sales to online pirates that bypass them and all American gown makers, leaving them at a price disadvantage, as consumers go direct.

While at another news format in 2010 I learned, David’s was hopeful at some flippy-floppy numbers and reports by the Wedding Report that encouraged them to stay in the game. Encouraging numbers that rose after the steep decline in wedding planning and spending during the 2008 market collapse that now falter,  growing indicators say a wounded wedding market will not rebound, as hoped.

Crediting a close collaboration between David’s Bridal and Men’s Wearhouse, Vera Wang tuxedos were added for the 2012 season. Online searches for Vera Wang products, including tuxedos, are high on the scale this season, behind Calvin Klein, only because of their longstanding track record in the category.

 

What do you think?

 

 

 

eWedNewz

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2012